The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach

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ÖZER M. O.

ISTANBUL IKTISAT DERGISI-ISTANBUL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, cilt.72, sa.1, ss.269-292, 2022 (ESCI) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 72 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2022
  • Doi Numarası: 10.26650/istjecon2022-1020006
  • Dergi Adı: ISTANBUL IKTISAT DERGISI-ISTANBUL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), ABI/INFORM, EconLit, Directory of Open Access Journals, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.269-292
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Economic growth, Unemployment rate, Okun's law, OKUNS LAW
  • Anadolu Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The present study investigates the relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in Turkiye. First, the stationarity of the variables is examined using the fractional frequency Fourier Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test in the study, which covers the quarterly time series from 2005:Q1 to 2021:Q1. The unit root test reveals that the variables are I(1) for economic growth and I(0) for the unemployment rate. Afterward, the fractional frequency Fourier autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test was used to assess the existence of the long-run relationship between the variables. The findings of the Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure reveal a unidirectional negative relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in both the long and short run. A unit increase in economic growth reduces unemployment rate by 1.48 and 0.09 units in the long and short run, respectively. Finally, the fractional frequency Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test is used, with the results supporting the Fourier ARDL test findings.